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2026: The Core Investment & Entrepreneurship Compass for the Next Decade

Last updated: February 18, 2026 2:28 am
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You can ignore this nationwide buzz, but if you fail to understand the capital battle unfolding in 2026, you may truly miss the wealth opportunities of the next decade.

Contents
I. History Doesn’t Repeat, But It RhymesII. The Core Logic of Capital in 2026: Fighting for the Right to Define BehaviorIII. Three Transformations Quietly Underway1. Industrial Logic: Dimensional Reconstruction2. Content Industry: Industrialized Revolution3. Manufacturing: Embodied Intelligence UpgradeIV. Opportunities for Ordinary People: Don’t Be Intimidated by Grand NarrativesV. In Closing: Capital Always Sees the Future First

The market landscape in 2026 has already quietly shifted. Alibaba’s Qianwen has invested 3 billion yuan, Tencent’s Yuanbao 1 billion yuan, while ByteDance’s Volcano Engine and Unitree Robotics have rushed into core tracks, becoming the darlings of capital. Meanwhile, once-dominant players such as liquor and dairy giants, as well as previously powerful short-video platforms, have gradually quieted down.

Behind this lies a historic watershed: China’s economy is officially moving from the Traffic Era to the Intelligence Era. This is no empty conceptual hype—it is capital voting with real money for the next decade.

I. History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Rhymes

Looking back to 2015, China’s internet landscape was undergoing a disruptive transformation.

WeChat spent 500 million yuan on its red envelope campaign, and in just one night, WeChat Pay achieved market penetration that had taken Alipay eight years to build. In 2016, Alipay launched its “Five Blessings” campaign, where the “Dedication Blessing” became a national treasure.

During those two years, mobile payment completed its nationwide infrastructure, completely changing how Chinese consumers spend.

Capital and information formed a closed loop on mobile phones: food delivery riders dared to leave meals at your door, and strangers dared to ride with drivers—all because trust barriers in transactions were broken, and payments arrived reliably.

In the decade that followed, live-streaming e-commerce, food delivery, ride-hailing, and community group-buying boomed, spawning trillion-dollar giants and millions of new jobs. All of this was built on the digital foundation of mobile payment.

The red envelope wars were never just about giving away money. They were the birth certificate for the mobile internet era. Without that nationwide habit-building, there would be no Meituan, Didi, Pinduoduo, or the internet wealth myths of the past decade.

Today, history repeats itself—only the protagonist has changed from mobile payment to artificial intelligence.

II. The Core Logic of Capital in 2026: Fighting for the Right to Define Behavior

You’ve probably noticed: AI dominates everything in 2026.

But unlike before, tech giants have moved beyond the traffic race of “keeping users scrolling for another hour.” They now compete on a far more critical track:

who can truly solve real problems—writing, image generation, math, planning, and daily work tasks.

This shift means one clear thing:

The rules of the traffic dividend era are dead. The efficiency dividend era has arrived.

Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance are pouring billions into AI not out of charity, but by repeating WeChat’s playbook:

using capital to forcibly reshape human behavior, turning AI from a niche tool into a national necessity.

Why is this so crucial?

Because the AI industry has a fatal flaw: technology outpaces human habits.

Even the most powerful AI model is useless code if people refuse to use it. Just as food delivery platforms failed in 2005 without mobile payments, capital is now pushing AI to become a national utility.

The next stage of competition will no longer be about model parameters, but about who can reshape daily life and work with AI—just as Meituan and Didi did.

This is the ultimate war for the right to define behavior. Whoever wins this war controls the next decade’s traffic and data—and thus the initiative for wealth.

III. Three Transformations Quietly Underway

Following China’s tech boom over the past two decades, three decade-defining shifts have already begun:

1. Industrial Logic: Dimensional Reconstruction

Mobile internet’s core value was reducing connection costs between people and information to near zero.

AI’s core value is reducing production and service costs to near zero.

Top teachers, doctors, and consultants were scarce and expensive because human expertise could not be duplicated. One teacher could only reach so many students; one doctor could treat so many patients.

With mature AI, high-threshold industries—education, healthcare, law, consulting—will be rewritten.

In the future, you may access core knowledge in any field without years of specialized schooling. Ordinary people will use AI to get services once only available to elites.

This is not AI replacing humans—it is the democratization of knowledge and services, and an efficiency revolution across industries.

2. Content Industry: Industrialized Revolution

From text, images, and video to copy, posters, and film clips, AI is quickly removing creative barriers.

In the past, film, gaming, and advertising competed on production time, labor, and capital: a movie needed hundreds of people, a game years of development, a poster hours of designer work.

In the AI era, the rules have changed:

Competition is no longer about “can it be done?” but “dare you imagine it?”

It is no longer about manpower, but pure imagination and the ability to command AI resources.

Industrialization meant “bigger scale = lower cost.”

AI means “richer imagination = greater output.”

Soon, one person with AI could create a Hollywood-level film.

The competitors to Netflix and Disney will not be other giants, but millions of creative individuals like you.

3. Manufacturing: Embodied Intelligence Upgrade

When large models enter robots, AI becomes more than invisible code—it gains hands and feet, entering the physical world.

The future of manufacturing is no longer simple automated assembly lines, but general humanoid robots adapting to complex environments and diverse tasks. The productivity limit of the physical world will be unlocked by AI.

Self-driving cars navigating cities, robot butlers managing homes, industrial robots handling complex procedures—these are not distant sci-fi fantasies, but realities within five years.

“AI + Robotics” and “embodied intelligence” will be the most promising investment and entrepreneurship tracks of the next decade.

IV. Opportunities for Ordinary People: Don’t Be Intimidated by Grand Narratives

For individuals, the opportunity boils down to one core shift:

from “craftsman mindset” to “commander mindset.”

In the past, we learned skills to become a reliable cog in society—coding, design, accounting, writing guaranteed a stable job. This is the craftsman mindset, focused on execution.

Today, AI has demolished skill barriers:

You don’t need 10 years of drawing to make a poster;

You don’t need to master coding for a working program;

You don’t need to stay up late writing drafts.

Pure execution is no longer scarce.

What is truly rare:

  • The ability to define problems: clearly stating what you want to solve and what result you want, then letting AI execute.
  • Aesthetic judgment: distinguishing good AI output from bad, and refining what works.

In the future, one person can be a company—a super node.

You don’t need many employees or huge capital. Mastering AI lets you do the work of an entire team.

Capital is giving everyone a set of “AI armor” through nationwide promotion.

Those who put it on first and master AI will have a dimensional advantage over those stuck in old skills.

V. In Closing: Capital Always Sees the Future First

A decade ago, the red envelope wars seemed like free money. In reality, they completed mobile internet infrastructure and paved the way for a new era.

Today, the AI spending spree looks like tool promotion. At its core, it is the birth certificate for the intelligence era—setting the tone for the next decade.

When you join this nationwide AI wave, look beyond short-term gains.

Use the tools capital is pushing. See how they solve your problems. Apply them to work and life. Tame them. Command them. Create real value.

History does not repeat, but its logic remains the same.

A decade ago, mobile internet entered every home and created countless wealth stories.

Now, in 2026, the wind of AI is at everyone’s fingertips. The ticket has been issued.

Over the next decade, will you sit in the audience watching others leap forward?

Or will you step onto the stage, use AI to break from the ordinary, and transform your life?

The choice has always been yours.

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